
Vistry Group is a leading UK housebuilder with a strong track record of delivering high-quality homes. The company has a significant presence in the UK's housing market, with a portfolio of developments across the country.
Vistry Group's market capitalization is around £3.5 billion, giving it a substantial presence in the FTSE 250 index. This significant market capitalization reflects the company's size and influence in the UK's housing market.
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the years, with a significant increase in 2020 to £2.1 billion. This growth is a testament to the company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions and deliver high-quality homes to its customers.
Vistry Group's focus on delivering high-quality homes has earned it a strong reputation with customers and investors alike.
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Key Statistics
The Vistry Group has some interesting statistics that are worth taking a look at.
The company's open price is 683.00, while the high price reached was 688.40. This is a significant increase from the low price of 673.80.
The current bid price is 618.00, which is lower than the offer price of 699.00. This suggests that investors are cautious about buying into the stock.
The previous close price was 682.60, which is a crucial piece of information for investors who want to understand the stock's performance over time.
Here are some key statistics about the Vistry Group:
The Vistry Group's market capitalization is a substantial 2.09 billion GBP, indicating a significant presence in the market.
Business Operations
Vistry Group has a complex history, with its partnerships business and traditional housebuilding business previously operating separately. However, they began winding down the latter to focus solely on partnerships in 2023.
The company aims to sell 65% of units to partners, with the remaining 35% going to the private market. This ratio can vary between projects, but the goal is to strike a balance between partner-funded and private sales.
Vistry's partnerships model allows them to take on large developments with economies of scale on the labor side and spread planning costs across multiple houses. This approach also helps them avoid oversaturating the market and reduces the time it takes to sell units.
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Here are some key statistics on Vistry's partnerships business:
- 18,000 homes expected to be delivered in 2024, mostly through partnerships
- Other significant players in the partnerships market include Keepmoat (4,100 in 2023), Lovell (likely to do ~3,000 in 2024), and Berkeley (3,900 in 2023)
Prior to its restructuring, Vistry had 32 regional business units, which were reduced to 27 as part of their shift to a partnerships-only model.
Business Overview
Vistry has a unique business model that's shifted focus towards partnerships, with a goal of selling 65% of units to partners and 35% in the private market. This approach allows them to take on massive developments with economies of scale on the labor side.
Their partnerships model is not the only one out there, but Vistry is the largest player by a wide margin, expecting to deliver 18,000 homes in 2024.
Other significant players in the partnerships market include Keepmoat, Lovell, and Berkeley, with Vistry's market share estimated to be approaching 50%.
In mixed-tenure urban regenerations, Vistry's market share is well in excess of 50%.
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Homebuilding
Homebuilding is a significant part of Vistry Group's operations, with the company aiming to deliver 18,000 homes in 2024, most of which will be partnerships.
Vistry's partnerships business has been growing, with sales reaching 3.56B in 2023 and expected to increase to 3.78B in 2024.
The company's partnerships model involves selling 65% of units to partners and 35% to the private market. This allows Vistry to take on massive developments with economies of scale on the labor side and the cost of obtaining planning spread across many houses.
Here's a breakdown of Vistry's sales by activity for 2020-2024:
Vistry's geographical breakdown of sales shows that the majority of their sales come from the United Kingdom, with sales reaching 3.56B in 2023 and expected to increase to 3.78B in 2024.
Leadership and Governance
The leadership team at Vistry Group is headed by CEO Greg Fitzgerald, who has been in the role since 2017. He's joined by Director of Finance Timothy Lawlor, who took on the role in 2022.
The executive compensation package is relatively generous, but not excessive, with a target compensation for Greg of £3.3m and a maximum of £5.7m. This is similar for Earl and Tim together.
For more insights, see: Greg Coffey
The compensation is weighted sensibly, with around 70% of it being variable, and broken down into earnings (50%), capital employed or ROCE (25%), and TSR, net debt, and ESG metrics (remainder).
Here's a breakdown of the executive committee:
Executive Committee
The Executive Committee plays a crucial role in the leadership and governance of Vistry Group PLC. This committee is responsible for overseeing the company's strategic direction and ensuring its success.
At the helm of the Executive Committee is Greg Fitzgerald, the CEO, who has been in this position since April 17, 2017. He is 60 years old and has a wealth of experience in leading companies.
Timothy Lawlor, the Director of Finance/CFO, joined the Executive Committee on November 10, 2022. He is 55 years old and brings a strong financial background to the table.
The Human Resources Officer, Clare Bates, is 49 years old and has been part of the Executive Committee since May 3, 2021. She plays a vital role in managing the company's workforce.
Here's a brief overview of the Executive Committee members:
The Investor Relations Contact, Susie Bell, and the Corporate Officer/Principal, Michael Stirrop, are also part of the Executive Committee, although their ages and dates of joining are not publicly disclosed.
Board of Directors Composition
The Board of Directors Composition of Vistry Group PLC is a diverse group of individuals with a range of skills and experience.
Greg Fitzgerald serves as the Chairman of the Board, a position he has held since May 15, 2024.
The Board consists of seven members, each with a unique background and expertise.
Timothy Lawlor, Paul Whetsell, Rowan Baker, Usman Nabi, Rob Woodward, Alice Elizabeth Woodwark, and Susan Farr make up the Board, with each member bringing their own strengths and perspectives.
Here is a breakdown of the Board members:
Executive Compensation
Executive Compensation is relatively generous for a UK company, but not excessive, with target compensation for top executives ranging from £3.3m to £5.7m.
The company's approach to variable compensation is sensible, with around 70% of it being based on performance metrics. This includes earnings, capital employed or ROCE, TSR, net debt, and a small amount on ESG metrics.
Non-executive directors, with one exception, are paid between £28-70k, which I believe is a good practice as it avoids creating a conflict of interest.
I'm a fan of low director fees, as it helps maintain the independence of non-executive directors.
Recommended read: Review of the Role and Effectiveness of Non-executive Directors
Financials and Valuation
Vistry Group is a major player in the UK's housebuilding market, with a market capitalization of over £4 billion. They have a strong financial foundation, with a healthy balance sheet and a solid track record of delivering profits.
Their revenue has been steadily increasing over the years, with a significant jump in 2020 due to the government's Help to Buy scheme. In fact, their revenue rose by 23% in 2020, reaching £2.5 billion.
The company's valuation is also impressive, with a price-to-earnings ratio of around 10. This suggests that investors have a positive view of the company's future prospects and are willing to pay a premium for its shares.
Why Wins
Vistry's growth potential is significant due to the private market's limitations. The main barrier in the open market is demand, and even a 25% increase in private sales won't have a dramatic effect.
Reducing planning costs may encourage developers to accept lower sales prices, but it's unlikely to stimulate much more demand. Affordable and PRS will have to make up the rest of the increase.
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Vistry is well-positioned to benefit from affordable and PRS, as they're the clear leader in majority-affordable projects. Homes England seems to be aware of Vistry's importance in this area.
Homes England's representative even mentioned pushing Vistry to complete 30,000 to 40,000 units per annum, a far more ambitious target than their current goal of 22,000 to 23,000 units by 2028.
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Moat
A moat is a financial concept that can significantly impact a company's valuation. It's a measure of the financial resources a company has available to invest in its business.
A healthy moat can provide a competitive advantage, making it harder for others to enter the market and compete.
Companies with strong economic moats tend to have higher valuations because investors are willing to pay more for a stake in a business with a durable competitive advantage.
A moat can be created through various means, such as patents, trademarks, and brand recognition.
The size of a company's moat can be estimated by looking at its return on equity (ROE) and return on assets (ROA).
High ROE and ROA indicate a strong moat, as the company is generating high returns on its investments.
Investors can use the moat concept to evaluate companies and make informed investment decisions.
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Shareholders
Shareholders play a crucial role in a company's financials and valuation. They are the owners of the company, and their interests are directly tied to the company's performance.
Shareholders can be categorized into two main groups: equity shareholders and preference shareholders. Equity shareholders have the right to vote on company decisions and receive dividends, while preference shareholders have a higher claim on assets and dividends but do not have voting rights.
The total number of shareholders in a company can significantly impact its valuation. For example, if a company has a large number of shareholders, it may be more difficult to pass major decisions, which can negatively impact valuation.
Shareholders also have a significant impact on a company's financial statements, particularly the balance sheet and income statement.
Here's an interesting read: Unfair Preference
Valuation
Valuation is a crucial step in understanding a company's financial health.
A company's valuation is typically done using various methods, including the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which is calculated by dividing the stock price by earnings per share.
This ratio can be influenced by factors such as industry trends and economic conditions.
A lower P/E ratio may indicate that a company's stock is undervalued.
For example, in the article section on "Financial Performance", we saw that Company A had a P/E ratio of 20, while Company B had a P/E ratio of 15.
This suggests that Company B may be undervalued compared to Company A.
The book value of a company, which is the total value of its assets minus liabilities, can also be a useful metric for valuation.
The article section on "Balance Sheet" shows that Company A's book value was $100 million, while Company B's book value was $80 million.
This indicates that Company A has a higher book value than Company B.
For more insights, see: Patricia Lopez / Bloomberg Opinion
Cost Understatements
Cost Understatements were a major issue for Vistry, with full-life costs on 9 of their developments understated by about 10%, totaling £115m to be recognized over 3 years.
This problem was largely confined to Vistry's South division, which had a management team that's being removed in response.
The market reacted poorly to this news, with the stock plummeting from around £13 to ~£9.60.
Vistry subsequently announced an external auditor would conduct a forensic review of all 300 sites, which found another £50m impact.
The audit's results led to further share price drops, with the stock falling below £7 before ending the day at £7.38.
Sell-side price targets have been chasing the stock down, raising concerns about potential fundamental profitability issues in Vistry's partnerships model.
Some sell-side reports had mentioned these concerns even before the cost understatement debacle, despite Countryside and Galliford Try's partnerships businesses delivering excellent performance in the past.
Consider reading: Investor Relations Sell-side
Partnerships and Operations
The Partnerships Model is a key aspect of Vistry Group's operations. It involves collaborating with housing associations, local authorities, and PRS investors to deliver a mix of affordable, PRS, and private for-sale units.
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In this model, the terms of partnerships vary significantly project-to-project, with some cases involving the developer providing land and others involving a housing association owning permissioned land and bringing in the developer to build the units.
The partnerships model allows for a variable component to the price tag, with certain costs passed onto the partner, reducing the developer's risk. This approach is in contrast to the speculative model employed by most housebuilders.
Vistry Group has seen significant restructuring in its operations, with the company cutting regional business units from 32 to 27, split across six new operating regions. This move was made in response to falling private market sales in 2023.
Expand your knowledge: Limited Liability Partnerships Act 2000
The Partnerships Model
The Partnerships Model is a game-changer in the housebuilding industry. It involves collaborating with housing associations, local authorities, and PRS investors to deliver a mix of affordable, PRS, and private for-sale units.
The terms of these partnerships vary project-to-project, with some cases involving developer-led arrangements where the developer provides land and allocates units to partners. In other cases, partners own permissioned land and bring in developers to build units, known as partner-led arrangements.
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In the partnerships model, partners usually pre-pay for units before construction starts, reducing the developer's risk. This financial arrangement also often includes a variable component, where certain costs are passed onto the partner.
England has seen around 200,000 new builds per annum in recent years, with about 60,000 of those being affordable units. This is a significant improvement from the 2010s, but still falls short of meeting the country's housing needs.
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Operations
Bovis Homes operated seven regional businesses prior to the Galliford Try deal that established Vistry.
These regional businesses were located in various parts of the country, including Kings Hill, Basingstoke, Reading, Exeter, Bishop's Cleeve, Stafford, Coleshill, and Milton Keynes.
The company offered a range of property types, from one-bedroom apartments to six-bedroom executive houses.
In April 2018, Bovis launched its Phoenix Range of 28 house types for both private and affordable housing.
This move aimed to cater to a broader market and provide more options for customers.
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The company continued to innovate and adapt, announcing the launch of its Partnership Housing Division in February 2019.
This division was designed to work closely with housing associations to support the delivery of affordable housing.
However, in September 2023, Vistry began to restructure the group in response to falling private market sales.
The company cut regional business units from 32 to 27, split across three operating regions, to focus on partnerships-only housing business.
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The Future
The majority of the cost will be recognised in FY24, and will reduce pre-tax profit by about a third.
The market has reacted strongly to the news, with the price falling a full 43%. This suggests that investors are concerned about the long-term impact on the company's cash flows.
However, it's worth noting that the independent review found that top-level management took prompt and robust action upon discovering the problems, with zero attempt at a cover-up.
In fact, insiders have been buying shares, with Greg purchasing £200k on the day of the first announcement, and two independent directors buying £75k and £40k respectively.
Browning West LP, Vistry's largest shareholders, have also been buying, purchasing an additional £7.5m after the most recent announcement.
The market's overreaction may be due to the fact that it's treating this as a fundamental issue with the company's core business model, when in fact the problem was concentrated in their legacy business in wind-down.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the old name of the Vistry company?
The company was previously known as Bovis Homes Group. It changed its name to Vistry Group.
What does vistry do?
Vistry is the UK's largest homebuilder, creating quality new housing and sustainable communities. We deliver homes where people love to live, leveraging our expertise and scale to build lasting legacies.
Featured Images: pexels.com


