
Investing in TSMC on the NASDAQ for long-term growth is a strategy that can yield significant rewards for investors. TSMC's market capitalization has grown rapidly over the years, reaching $500 billion in 2022.
TSMC's dominance in the semiconductor industry is a key factor in its growth potential. Its market share of 53% in the foundry market is a testament to its leadership position.
Investors can gain exposure to TSMC's growth through the NASDAQ, where its stock is listed under the ticker symbol TSM. This provides a convenient and liquid way to invest in the company.
TSMC's financials are robust, with a net income margin of 25% in 2022, indicating a strong ability to generate profits.
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Investment Considerations
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is trading at 33 times trailing earnings, which is higher than its five-year average earnings multiple of 22.
The forward price-to-earnings ratio of 24 suggests a significant jump in the company's bottom line, and it's lower than the tech-laden Nasdaq-100 index's forward earnings multiple of 25.
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Investors are still getting a good deal on TSMC stock even after the healthy gains it has clocked in the past year.
The company's bright outlook for 2025 and the next five years makes it a good time to buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock.
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Strong Demand for Leading Nodes
TSMC's leading nodes are in high demand, with customers seeking advanced process technologies. This demand is driven by the need for faster and more efficient computing.
The company's 5nm and 3nm nodes are particularly sought after, with customers looking to take advantage of their improved performance and power efficiency. TSMC's ability to deliver these nodes on time has been a major factor in their success.
The demand for leading nodes is not limited to any one industry, with applications ranging from smartphones to high-performance computing. TSMC's nodes are used in a wide range of products, from mobile devices to data centers.
TSMC's 3nm node, for example, offers a significant reduction in power consumption compared to its 5nm predecessor. This makes it an attractive option for customers looking to improve the battery life of their devices.
Market Reaction and Guidance
Shares of TSMC were up around 4% by noon on Thursday, driven by strong revenue growth and soaring demand for AI chips.
TSMC delivered Q4 2024 revenue of $26.9 billion, a big improvement of 37% over the year-ago quarter.
Its adjusted earnings increased at a much faster pace of 55% to $2.24 per share, beating Wall Street's expectations on both counts.
TSMC's revenue guidance of $25 billion to $25.8 billion for Q1 was 6% higher than expectations.
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The company's revenue from artificial intelligence (AI) chips is likely to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 40% over the next five years.
TSMC's overall revenue is expected to increase at a CAGR of 20% for the next five years, indicating robust growth beyond 2025.
The global semiconductor market could generate $1.47 trillion in revenue in 2030, with TSMC's dominant share of 64% in the global foundry market positioning it to make the most of this growth opportunity.
TSMC's management believes the recent export restrictions proposed by the U.S. government on sales of chips to China would be "manageable", which explains the company's upbeat outlook for both the short and long run.
The semiconductor market's secular growth will be a long-term tailwind for TSMC, with estimates suggesting the global market could cross annual revenue of $1 trillion by 2030.
TSMC is expected to maintain its dominance in the foundry market until at least 2032, with the company aggressively investing capital in the development of more fabrication plants.
The company's revenue in the first 10 months of 2024 increased by 31.5% from the same period last year, and management expects 2024 revenue to increase by nearly 30%.
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TSMC's bottom line could increase to $10.35 per share in 2026, translating into a three-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 26%.
Assuming TSMC can maintain even a 15% annual earnings growth rate over the next decade, its bottom line could hit $20.95 per share at the end of 2033.
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Should Investors Buy Stock Now?
TSMC's stock has had a tremendous year, with a 33 times trailing earnings multiple that's higher than its five-year average earnings multiple of 22. This suggests the stock has been on a roll, but it's not too late to buy in.
The forward price-to-earnings ratio of 24 is lower than the tech-laden Nasdaq-100 index's forward earnings multiple of 25. This indicates investors are still getting a good deal on TSMC stock.
TSMC delivered Q4 2024 revenue of $26.9 billion, a 37% improvement over the year-ago quarter. Its adjusted earnings increased at a much faster pace of 55% to $2.24 per share.
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The company's revenue guidance of $25 billion to $25.8 billion for Q1 is 6% higher than expectations. This suggests TSMC's growth is expected to continue.
TSMC's gross margin is expected to land at 58% in the current quarter, a significant improvement over the 53.1% reading in the same quarter last year. This will likely lead to impressive earnings growth.
The company estimates its revenue from artificial intelligence (AI) chips will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 40% over the next five years. This is a key growth area for TSMC.
TSMC's dominant share of 64% in the global foundry market means it's well-positioned to benefit from the expected growth in the semiconductor market. According to market research firm SNS Insider, the global semiconductor market could generate $1.47 trillion in revenue in 2030.
Most analysts polled by S&P Global Market Intelligence expect TSMC's total sales growth over the next five years to average nearly 20% annually. This suggests the company's growth is expected to continue.
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Semiconductor Industry
The semiconductor industry is expected to continue growing at an incredible pace, with McKinsey predicting that the global market could reach $1 trillion in revenue by 2030. This growth is driven by the increasing need for chips in various industries, including data centers, smartphones, and cars.
TSMC is well-positioned to benefit from this growth, as it is the world's largest semiconductor foundry, with a 62% share of the foundry market. Its diversified customer base, which includes major companies like Apple and Sony, will continue to drive revenue growth.
Precedence Research forecasts that AI chips alone could generate nearly $928 billion in annual revenue in 2034, with an annual growth rate of 29%. This presents a massive opportunity for TSMC to capitalize on the growing demand for AI chips.
TSMC's revenue has already shown impressive growth this year, increasing by 31.5% in the first 10 months of 2024 compared to the same period last year. The company expects to sustain this momentum in the final two months of the year, with management predicting a 30% increase in revenue for 2024.
TSMC is expected to maintain its dominance in the foundry market for the next several years, with a lead that is expected to last until at least 2032.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Which is bigger, TSMC or nvidia?
TSMC is the world's largest semiconductor foundry, while Nvidia is a fabless chipmaker that relies on TSMC for manufacturing. This size difference reflects their distinct roles in the semiconductor industry.
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