
The Egyptian government's decision to float the pound, also known as تعويم الجنيه, has had a significant impact on the country's economy.
To implement this decision, the government has taken several key steps, including the introduction of new exchange rates and the liberalization of the foreign exchange market.
One of the main goals of floating the pound is to reduce the country's reliance on imports and stimulate local production, which will in turn create new job opportunities and boost economic growth.
The government has also introduced several economic programs aimed at supporting the country's transition to a more open and competitive economy.
Reasons and Effects
The reasons behind floating the Egyptian pound are multifaceted, with a primary goal of reducing the country's budget deficit and decreasing its public debt.
One of the key reasons is the need to reduce the budget deficit, which has been consistently increasing, and to minimize the public debt.

A stable exchange rate is crucial for the country's economy, and floating the pound can help achieve this stability.
The government's decision to float the pound has been met with both positive and negative reactions, with some arguing that it will lead to increased inflation and a decrease in the standard of living of the population.
Some of the potential effects of floating the pound include:
- Increased inflation due to higher import costs
- Decreased standard of living for the population
- Potential increase in public debt due to increased spending on essential goods
- Resistance from businesses that may be negatively affected
أسباب
The reasons behind the strengthening of the Egyptian pound are multifaceted and aimed at stabilizing the economy.
A key factor is the reduction of the state's budget deficit, which has been consistently increasing, with the goal of decreasing the public debt.
The government has also implemented measures to rationalize public spending and strengthen the support system through its reforms, which has improved the country's position in the eyes of the International Monetary Fund to secure the announced loan.
Maintaining the country's foreign exchange reserves and directing them properly, reducing imports, and controlling the chaotic import process are also crucial.

Boosting exports and encouraging local production, as well as foreign and local investment, is another vital aspect.
Increasing the state's foreign currency revenue will improve the living standards of low-income households.
Meeting the citizens' needs for essential goods is also a priority.
Combating dollar speculation and controlling the black market's influence is necessary.
Revealing the real supply and demand dynamics of the dollar, away from the artificial quantities caused by speculation, is essential.
عيوب
The drawbacks of floating the pound are quite significant. One major issue is that it may not be able to meet the needs of citizens for goods available in the local market.
This is because floating the pound can lead to a potential increase in the country's debt in case the government has to provide more support for essential goods to meet the needs of citizens.
As a result, the increased cost of living could worsen the living conditions of citizens and negatively affect the local economy.

To effectively implement floating the pound, precise decisions must be made at the right time to stimulate economic activity.
However, this policy must be aligned with achieving a high level of productivity to stimulate the local economy and combat imports.
A floating pound policy may also face resistance from businesses that are negatively affected, which could impact the overall economic situation.
Here are some potential drawbacks of floating the pound:
- عدم القدرة على تلبية احتياجات المواطنين من السلع المتوفرة في السوق المحلي.
- احتمالية زيادة ديون الدولة في حالة ارتفاع الدعم المقدم للسلع الأساسية لتلبية احتياجات المواطنين.
- قد تؤدي زيادة تكاليف المعيشة إلى تفاقم الأوضاع المعيشية المواطنين وقد تؤثر سلبًا على الاقتصاد المحلي.
- يتطلب تحرير سعر الصرف اتخاذ قرارات دقيقة في الأوقات المناسبة لتنشيط الحركة الاقتصادية.
- يجب أن تتماشى هذه السياسة مع تحقيق إنتاجية كبيرة لتنشيط الاقتصاد المحلي ومكافحة الاستيراد.
- يحتمل أن تواجه سياسة التعويم مقاومة من قبل رجال الأعمال المتأثرين سلبًا، مما قد يؤثر على الوضع الاقتصادي العام.
Government Response
The government of Egypt has taken steps to address the fluctuations in the value of the Egyptian pound, also known as "تعويم الجنيه".
The Central Bank of Egypt has implemented policies to control inflation and stabilize the currency, including raising interest rates to 19.25% in 2023.
In an effort to boost the economy, the government has also introduced measures to attract foreign investment and increase exports.
The value of the Egyptian pound has been affected by a decline in foreign reserves, which dropped to $13.1 billion in 2023.
Implications

The implications of تعويم الجنيه are far-reaching and can have a significant impact on everyday life.
The value of the dollar is expected to rise sharply, with some predicting a 50-jina increase against the Egyptian pound.
The decision to raise interest rates to 6% is a key factor in this increase, as it will make borrowing more expensive and reduce the amount of money in circulation.
The Egyptian economy is still recovering from the effects of the pandemic, and the government will need to take careful steps to manage the impact of the currency's devaluation.
The black market for dollars has been a major problem in Egypt, with prices rising to as high as 70 jina per dollar.
The government's decision to devalue the currency is aimed at reducing the country's reliance on the black market and encouraging people to use the official exchange rate.
However, some economists are warning that the government may not have enough dollars to meet the demand, which could lead to further instability in the currency market.

The implications of تعويم الجنيه will be closely watched by Egyptians, who are hoping that it will lead to lower prices and a more stable economy.
A key factor in the success of the devaluation will be the government's ability to manage the impact on ordinary people, particularly those who are struggling to make ends meet.
The government will need to take steps to protect vulnerable groups, such as the poor and the elderly, who may be disproportionately affected by the devaluation.
Here are some key statistics to keep in mind:
- The current exchange rate is around 30.84 jina per dollar.
- The black market rate is around 70 jina per dollar.
- The interest rate has been raised to 6%.
Economic Programs
The Egyptian government has implemented various economic programs to stabilize the pound and control inflation.
The government has been working to reduce the budget deficit and increase foreign currency reserves.
The Central Bank of Egypt has been implementing a managed float system for the pound, allowing it to fluctuate within a certain band.
This has helped to attract foreign investment and increase the value of the pound.

The government has also been implementing policies to reduce the country's reliance on imports and increase domestic production.
This includes subsidies for certain goods and services, as well as incentives for businesses to invest in local production.
The government aims to reduce the trade deficit and increase the country's economic independence.
Egypt has been working to implement structural reforms to improve the business environment and increase foreign investment.
This includes reducing bureaucracy and increasing transparency in government decision-making.
Market Trends
The market for the Egyptian pound, also known as تعويم الجنيه, is influenced by various trends.
The value of the pound has been steadily increasing over the past few years, reaching a high of 17.5 pounds to the US dollar in 2020.
This trend is largely driven by the country's economic growth and stability, which has led to increased foreign investment and tourism.
The Egyptian government has been actively working to strengthen the pound, implementing policies to attract foreign investors and boost the country's economy.

As a result, the pound has become a popular currency for investors looking to diversify their portfolios and take advantage of the country's growing economy.
The pound's value is also affected by global economic trends, with fluctuations in the value of the US dollar and other major currencies impacting its value.
The Egyptian government's efforts to stabilize the pound have been successful, with the currency experiencing a significant decrease in volatility over the past few years.
This stability has made the pound a more attractive option for investors and businesses looking to operate in the country.
The pound's value is also influenced by the country's trade balance, with a strong trade balance contributing to a strong currency.
Egypt's trade balance has been improving in recent years, with the country experiencing a significant increase in exports and a decrease in imports.
This has led to a stronger pound, making it easier for Egyptians to import goods and services.
The pound's value is also affected by the country's inflation rate, with high inflation rates contributing to a weaker currency.
Egypt's inflation rate has been decreasing in recent years, with the country experiencing a significant decrease in inflation in 2020.
This decrease in inflation has contributed to a stronger pound, making it easier for Egyptians to purchase goods and services.
Characteristics

The characteristics of تعويم الجنيه are quite interesting. There are two main types of floating exchange rates: خالص and مُوجَّه.
The خالص floating exchange rate is where the government leaves the determination of the exchange rate to the market forces of supply and demand, without any direct or indirect intervention.
In a مُوجَّه floating exchange rate, the government intervenes to guide the exchange rate in certain directions by influencing the supply or demand of foreign currencies through the central bank.
أشكال
Characteristics of floating exchange rates can be quite varied. There are two main forms: free floating and managed floating.
Free floating exchange rates allow the market to determine the exchange rate without any government intervention. This means the government doesn't directly or indirectly influence the exchange rate.
Managed floating exchange rates, on the other hand, allow the market to determine the exchange rate, but the government can intervene to influence the direction of the exchange rate. This is done by affecting the supply or demand of foreign currencies.
Here are the two main forms of floating exchange rates:
- Free floating: The government doesn't intervene in the exchange rate.
- Managed floating: The government can intervene to influence the exchange rate.
مميزات

Characteristics of a strong economy can be seen in the benefits of a floating currency, such as the Egyptian pound. One of the key advantages is a significant increase in exports of local goods due to a decrease in their supply, making them more competitive in international markets.
This leads to a higher demand for local goods from consumers, as they are often priced lower than imported goods. As a result, the tourism sector also benefits from the lower prices of local goods, attracting more foreign tourists and extending their stay.
A floating currency also helps the country to maintain a longer foreign exchange reserve, which can be used to face potential economic crises. Furthermore, the lower cost of labor and production costs encourages entrepreneurs and investors to establish new projects.
Here are the key benefits of a floating currency in a concise list:
- Increased exports of local goods
- Higher demand for local goods from consumers
- Boosted tourism sector
- Longer foreign exchange reserve
- Lower labor and production costs
Frequently Asked Questions
هل يوجد تعويم قادم 2024؟
لا يوجد تعويم جديد للجنيه المصري قبل نهاية 2024. هذا الأمر يعتبر مجرد شائعات غير صحيحة.
متى يتم تعويم الجنيه في مصر؟
تعويم الجنيه المصري تم في مارس 2024.
هل يتوقع ارتفاع سعر الدولار في مصر 2025؟
الأسعار المتوقعة للعملة الأمريكية في مصر في العام المقبل تتراوح بين 55 و58 جنيه.
Sources
- https://arabic.cnn.com/middle-east/article/2024/11/24/egypt-dollar-continues-to-rise-exchange-rate-experts-comment
- https://arabic.cnn.com/middle-east/article/2024/10/24/imf-remarks-old-says-egyptian-gov
- https://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%B3%D8%B9%D8%B1_%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B5%D8%B1%D9%81_%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B9%D8%A7%D8%A6%D9%85
- https://rebster.mx/post/42207
- https://www.bbc.com/arabic/interactivity-68492126
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