What Does Trump Want to Tariff and How Does it Work

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Scrabble tiles spelling 'China' and 'Tariffs' symbolize global trade issues.
Credit: pexels.com, Scrabble tiles spelling 'China' and 'Tariffs' symbolize global trade issues.

Tariffs are a tax imposed on imported goods, and Trump has been using them to try to level the playing field with other countries. He's imposed tariffs on over $360 billion worth of Chinese goods.

The tariffs are meant to make it more expensive for China to export goods to the US, which Trump hopes will encourage China to change its trade practices. The tariffs are a key part of the US-China trade war.

The tariffs on Chinese goods range from 7.5% to 25% depending on the type of product. For example, tariffs on $120 billion worth of Chinese electronics and machinery are 25%.

Tariff Purposes

Tariffs are mainly intended to protect domestic industries by raising the price of imports. This can help home-grown manufacturers compete in the market.

Before the federal income tax was established in 1913, tariffs were a major revenue driver for the government, accounting for 90% of federal revenue from 1790 to 1860.

Tariffs can also serve to punish foreign countries for unfair trade practices, such as subsidizing their exporters or dumping products at unfairly low prices.

Raising Revenue

Credit: youtube.com, Tariff revenue reaches $215 billion, Trump eyes dividend program

Raising revenue with tariffs is a complex issue. Tariffs can't even come close to replacing income taxes, which bring in around $3 trillion a year.

The United States imports around $3 trillion worth of goods annually. To replace income taxes with tariffs, the levies would have to be at least 100% on all imported goods.

But demand would fall as prices rise, making it even harder to raise revenue through tariffs. Tariffs may have to be set at 200% to replace all federal income tax revenue.

So far, tariffs aren't bringing in anywhere near the amount of revenue that's needed. The Treasury Department has reported that Trump has raised less than $100 billion in tariff revenue since taking office.

Some of the most punishing tariffs are only temporary, designed to incentivize countries to reduce the flow of fentanyl into the United States. If they're successful, the tariffs will "come off" as Trump has said.

Tariffs to Protect Domestic Industries

Credit: youtube.com, Ecuador boosts tariffs to protect domestic industry

Tariffs are mainly intended to protect domestic industries by raising the price of imports.

Before the federal income tax was established in 1913, tariffs accounted for 90% of federal revenue.

Tariffs can serve to punish foreign countries for committing unfair trade practices, like subsidizing their exporters or dumping products at unfairly low prices.

By protecting home-grown manufacturers, tariffs can help keep domestic industries competitive in the market.

Tariff Approach

The White House has taken a country-specific approach to tariffs, rather than imposing perfectly reciprocal tariffs across the board. This means that the tariff rates are calculated based on the trade imbalances with the U.S. on a country-by-country basis.

For example, the U.S. would match China's 67% rate with a 34% tariff on Chinese exports to the U.S. This discounted tariff rate was characterized by Trump as "kind." However, China retaliated with a 34% import fee on American products, prompting Trump to threaten an additional 50% tariff on Chinese imports.

The U.S. would tax some other nations' products at vastly different rates than they do ours, which could lead to retaliation against the U.S. In fact, Vietnam, where Apple produces some of its iPhones, is subject to a 46% tariff under Trump's plan.

Recommended read: Mortgage Rates under Trump

Pressuring Countries

Credit: youtube.com, White House sending warning letter to countries ahead of tariff deal deadline

Tariffs can be a powerful tool for pressuring countries to change their trade policies. Trump has repeatedly used tariffs as a threat to get countries to negotiate deals.

The threat of tariffs has been effective in some cases, such as when Canada backed off its digital services tax last week. Trump had threatened to end trade talks with Canada if the tax went into effect.

However, the threat of tariffs hasn't always worked as intended. Trump's tariffs have not stopped the flow of fentanyl into the United States, despite his lofty goal.

Tariffs also have to be lifted if and when countries acquiesce to Trump's demands, which can hurt the administration's revenue-raising goals. The government is expected to collect $81.4 billion in tariffs and fees this year, a relatively small amount compared to other sources of revenue.

Reciprocal vs Country-Specific Tariffs

Reciprocal tariffs aim to match the tariff rates imposed by other countries on the US, but the White House decided on country-specific rates instead.

Credit: youtube.com, How Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs May Spark a U.S. Recession | WSJ

The administration calculated these rates based on trade imbalances and unfair trade practices, including currency manipulation, tariffs, and other barriers.

For example, the US matched China's 67% rate with a 34% tariff on Chinese exports, but China retaliated with a 34% import fee on American products.

Lesotho and French territories Saint Pierre and Miquelon face the highest country-specific tariff rates at 50%.

Vietnam, where Apple produces some of its iPhones, is subject to a 46% tariff under the plan.

A former economic policy analyst predicted that the White House would impose a blended rate that's 10% higher than the average tariff rate imposed by other countries on the US.

This approach would tax some products at vastly different rates than others, leading to potential retaliation against the US.

Suggestion: Trump Tariff China

Economic Impact

The economic impact of Trump's tariffs is a complex issue, but let's break it down simply.

Tariffs can lead to higher prices for American consumers, which could result in a decrease in demand for imported goods, potentially harming US businesses that rely on these imports.

Credit: youtube.com, President Trump's tariff threats have become less and less impactful, says Wendy Cutler

The imposition of tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, for example, has already led to price increases for US manufacturers, who may struggle to pass these costs on to consumers.

Higher prices can also lead to decreased consumer spending, which can have a ripple effect throughout the economy.

According to the article, the US imports over $2.5 trillion worth of goods each year, and tariffs can increase the cost of these imports, making it more expensive for businesses to operate.

This could lead to job losses, particularly in industries that rely heavily on imports, such as the automotive and aerospace sectors.

The tariffs may also lead to retaliatory measures from other countries, which could further exacerbate the economic impact.

The US Chamber of Commerce has estimated that tariffs on steel and aluminum could cost the US economy over $1.4 billion in lost GDP.

For another approach, see: Trump Steel Tariff 2018

The Big Contradiction

Trump's tariff strategy is a complex web of contradictory goals. Tariffs can't achieve all of his lofty goals at the same time.

Credit: youtube.com, Trump announces additional 100% tariff on China | LiveNOW from FOX

If tariffs are a pressure campaign, they have to go away once the countries acquiesce. This means there will be no tariffs to restore the trade balance.

Tariffs can't both promote America's manufacturing sector and raise revenue to offset deficits. If Americans switch to made-in-the-USA goods, then who pays the tariff on foreign products?

The US economy is enormous and diverse, and doesn't rely on trade as much as its neighbors. This means tariffs can inflict serious damage on other countries' economies without plunging the US into a recession.

The revenue raised by tariffs can help offset some of the country's deficits. Achieving all those outcomes simultaneously, however, may not be possible.

James Hoeger-Bergnaum

Senior Assigning Editor

James Hoeger-Bergnaum is an experienced Assigning Editor with a proven track record of delivering high-quality content. With a keen eye for detail and a passion for storytelling, James has curated articles that captivate and inform readers. His expertise spans a wide range of subjects, including in-depth explorations of the New York financial landscape.

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