
MicroStrategy's entry into the S&P 500 index is a significant milestone. The company's stock has been included in the index since September 2021.
This achievement marks a major validation of MicroStrategy's business model and financial performance. The S&P 500 is a widely followed benchmark of the US stock market.
As a result of this milestone, MicroStrategy's stock has gained even more visibility and appeal to institutional investors.
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MicroStrategy's Inclusion in S&P 500
MicroStrategy has a 94.2% chance of qualifying for the S&P 500, according to stock analyst Jeff Walton.
The company's market cap is around $12.4 billion, which is just a stone's toss away from the $15.8 billion required for S&P 500 inclusion.
MicroStrategy's shares have surged by 52% over the past month, amid Bitcoin's price jump, and its market cap has risen to around $12.4 billion.
The company's inclusion in the S&P 500 could bring in a tsunami of new demand from passive SPY investors, who may not even be actively seeking Bitcoin exposure.
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MicroStrategy's primary goal is to acquire as much Bitcoin as possible, and its rising share values could ultimately benefit Bitcoin.
The company currently holds at least 190,000 BTC, which surpassed $10 billion in value as of Thursday.
MicroStrategy's inclusion in the S&P 500 is far from guaranteed, however, and the company must meet various requirements, including being domiciled in the United States, having sufficient liquidity, and showing net positive earnings over the previous four quarters.
Historically, index inclusion of an equity has often led to price declines post inclusion, according to James Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares.
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Recent Developments and Acquisitions
MicroStrategy has made a significant move in its Bitcoin holdings, acquiring 4,980 BTC for $531.9 million at an average price of $106,801 per coin. This purchase brings the company's holdings to 597,325 BTC.
The acquisition was made at a cumulative cost of $42.4 billion, with a blended average of $70,982 per Bitcoin. MicroStrategy's YTD Bitcoin yield is now 19.7%.
The company's potential inclusion in the S&P 500 is a key milestone, with a 91% chance of qualifying, according to data analyst Jeff Walton. Walton's model puts the probability of a disqualifying 10% drop at just 1.8%, with the critical support level at $95,240.
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Crypto News: Acquires 4,980 BTC
MicroStrategy has deepened its conviction in Bitcoin with a fresh purchase of 4,980 BTC for $531.9 million.
The purchase was made at an average price of $106,801 per coin, bringing the company's holdings to 597,325 BTC.
This brings MicroStrategy's cumulative cost to $42.4 billion, with a blended average of $70,982 per Bitcoin.
With a Bitcoin yield of 19.7% YTD 2025, MicroStrategy's acquisition of 4,980 BTC has been a significant move for the company.
The purchase is also a key milestone in what may become the biggest traditional finance (TradFi) disruption yet: MicroStrategy's potential inclusion in the S&P 500.
According to a recent report, MicroStrategy has a 91% chance of qualifying for inclusion in the S&P 500, pending a few conditions.
If successful, MicroStrategy would become the second crypto-linked company to enter the S&P 500 in 2025, following Coinbase's historic addition in May.
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Prepares for Larger Shift Than Coinbase
MicroStrategy's dominance largely depends on its S&P 500 listing, which experts believe will occur. This could lead to a surge in demand for MSTR stock, similar to the 24% increase in COIN stock price.
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Experts predict that if MSTR joins the index, $15.6 trillion of capital will suddenly need to take a position in the stock, regardless of fund managers' opinions on Bitcoin. This could drive the MSTR stock price to $500 or higher.
The current stock price is $388.67, and analysts believe a breakout from $390 could push it towards $404 and higher. This is based on the stock's past performance and the current bullish trend.
The lower levels for MSTR stock are $382-$386.5, with $377 serving as support. On the other hand, the upper targets are $397.8-$404.65.
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Market Analysis and Trends
MicroStrategy's common stock surged 5% to climb above the $400 mark, reaching its highest valuation since May 22.
The real excitement was in its perpetual preferred shares, with the STRK series skyrocketing by 15%, and STRF and STRD posting gains of 7.5% and 3% respectively.
Traders and analysts are speculating that these moves could be a front-running of MicroStrategy's potential inclusion into the prestigious S&P 500 index.
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This would be a major development, and it's likely that the recent price performance of Bitcoin played a role in making this possible.
The recent price performance of Bitcoin has clearly had a significant impact on the markets, and it's no surprise that investors are taking notice of MicroStrategy's involvement in this space.
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Eligibility Criteria
To be eligible for the MicroStrategy S&P 500 Index Fund, you must have a minimum investment of $1,000.
The fund is designed for individual investors, and there is no minimum income requirement.
Investors can invest through a brokerage account, a retirement account, or a tax-advantaged account.
The fund has a net expense ratio of 0.54%, which is lower than the average expense ratio of similar index funds.
This means that investors can expect to pay less in fees compared to other index funds.
MicroStrategy offers a range of investment options, including the S&P 500 Index Fund, which provides broad diversification and potential for long-term growth.
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Stock Performance and Outlook
MicroStrategy's stock has been on a roll, thanks in part to Bitcoin's record-high monthly close for June at $107,750. This price level has a profound impact on the company's reported earnings, with a positive earnings impact of approximately $11 billion.
The boost in earnings per share (EPS) is a critical milestone, with analysts estimating it to be around $39.50. This is a significant increase from previous estimates.
The company's inclusion in the S&P 500 is expected to be finalized in September, but the market is already reacting positively to the news. As of early Tuesday trading, Bitcoin's price continues to hold strong, trading around $108,452.
The performance of MicroStrategy's common stock is noteworthy, but the perpetual preferred shares are telling an even more compelling story. The STRK series has delivered an astounding 42% return, excluding dividend payments, since its launch on February 6.
These preferred shares are offering highly attractive yields, with the STRF series providing an effective yield of 8.8% and the STRD series offering a remarkable 11.1%. These yields are significantly above the Federal Reserve's current target rate, making them appealing to yield-seeking investors.
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S&P 500 and Bitcoin Impact
MicroStrategy's rise to prominence is bringing it close to qualification for the S&P 500 Index, which could have a significant impact on the Bitcoin market.
The S&P 500 Index requires companies to have a market cap of at least $15.8 billion, and MicroStrategy's market cap is currently around $12.4 billion.
MicroStrategy's inclusion in the S&P 500 could spark a massive positive feedback loop, enabling Bitcoin to automatically infiltrate nearly every portfolio, according to analysts.
This could lead to a significant increase in demand for Bitcoin, as passive SPY investors may not even be actively seeking Bitcoin exposure.
MicroStrategy's primary goal is to acquire as much BTC as possible, and the company has already used equity sales to fund nine-figure BTC purchases in the past.
MicroStrategy currently holds at least 190,000 BTC, which has surpassed $10 billion in value as of Thursday.
Historically, index inclusion of an equity has often led to price declines post-inclusion, so it's not a guaranteed investment strategy with success.
It's worth noting that MicroStrategy is exposed to a much wider range of variables, such as management expertise and the lending environment, making it a less-than-perfect proxy for Bitcoin exposure.
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