
Amazon's stock is often debated among investors, with some considering it a growth stock and others a value stock.
Amazon's market capitalization has consistently ranked among the top five largest in the world, reaching $1.2 trillion in 2022.
Growth stocks typically have high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, but Amazon's P/E ratio has been relatively stable, ranging from 60 to 80 in the past few years.
This stability suggests that Amazon's stock may be more of a value stock, as investors are not willing to pay high premiums for its shares.
For another approach, see: Stocks with High Dividends and Growth
Amazon Stock Analysis
Amazon is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of A, indicating it's a top pick for growth investors.
The company boasts a Growth Style Score of A, forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 63.5% for the current fiscal year. 13 analysts revised their earnings estimate higher in the last 60 days for fiscal 2024, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.16 to $4.74 per share.
AMZN also boasts an average earnings surprise of 31.1%. Its forward P/E ratio of 40 is higher than the Nasdaq 100 average of 31, which may deter some investors.
However, analysts at Jefferies have maintained a "buy" rating on Amazon shares, raising their price target to $235 from $225, representing an 18% increase from the current share price.
Amazon's shares are up 33% year over year, outperforming the S&P 500's 28% rise. The company has rallied investors with impressive earnings gains, an expanding role in AI, and unexpected growth in digital advertising.
Here's a summary of Amazon's growth prospects:
Growth and Profitability
Amazon's growth is a key factor in its success, with a Growth Rating of 8 out of 10 from ChartMill. This rating assesses various growth aspects, including historical and projected EPS and revenue growth.
The company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) has grown by an impressive 117.21% over the past year, with a strong growth rate of 23.57% yearly over the last years. Revenue has also grown by 11.93% in the last year, and 19.80% on average over the past years.
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Here are some key statistics that illustrate Amazon's growth and profitability:
Amazon's profitability is also noteworthy, with a Profitability Rating of 7 from ChartMill. This rating is derived from an analysis of diverse profitability metrics and margins.
The company's Return On Assets (ROA) is 8.53%, outperforming 75.00% of its industry peers. ROE is 19.24%, better than 65.63% of its industry peers.
Nasdaq Growth Analysis
Amazon's growth prospects are quite impressive, with a Growth Rating of 8 out of 10 from ChartMill. This rating is based on various growth aspects, including historical and projected EPS and revenue growth.
The company has seen an impressive 117.21% growth in Earnings Per Share over the past year, and a strong 23.57% yearly growth in EPS over the last years. Revenue growth has also been significant, with an 11.93% increase in the last year and a 19.80% average growth over the past years.
Here are some key growth metrics for Amazon:
- Earnings Per Share growth: 117.21% (past year), 23.57% (yearly average)
- Revenue growth: 11.93% (last year), 19.80% (average over past years)
- Projected EPS growth: 30.16% (average over next years)
- Projected Revenue growth: 10.51% (average per year over next years)
These growth metrics indicate that Amazon is a company with strong growth potential, and its growth is accelerating over time.
Economic Conditions
Economic conditions can significantly impact Amazon's growth and profitability. Macroeconomic conditions, such as inflation and changes in consumer spending, can affect the company's performance.
Amazon's core e-commerce business is more vulnerable to economic fluctuations. In contrast, AWS and advertising are relatively insulated from these factors.
In times of economic uncertainty, consumers may be less likely to spend on non-essential items, which could negatively impact Amazon's sales.
Financial Performance
Amazon's financial performance is a key factor in determining whether it's a growth or value stock. AWS has been a cornerstone of Amazon's growth strategy, contributing significantly to both revenue and operating income.
In Q4 2021, AWS generated $17.8 billion in revenue, marking a 39.9% year-over-year increase. This growth trajectory is impressive, and it's no wonder that AWS is a high-margin business segment.
AWS sales had surged to $25 billion by Q1 2023, contributing 63% of Amazon's total operating income. This robust growth is a testament to AWS's success and its impact on Amazon's overall financial performance.
Valuation and Investment
Amazon's stock has been one of the best-performing stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2024.
Its forward P/E ratio of 40 is higher than the Nasdaq 100 average of 31, which may deter some investors.
However, analysts at Jefferies have maintained a “buy” rating on Amazon shares, raising their price target to $235 from $225, representing an 18% increase from the current share price.
For investors, the key takeaway is that AWS and advertising are likely to remain significant growth drivers for Amazon.
Diversifying their investment portfolios and closely monitoring Amazon’s financial performance and strategic initiatives will be crucial.
Amazon's shares are up 33% year over year, outperforming the S&P 500's 28% rise.
The company has rallied investors with impressive earnings gains, an expanding role in AI, and unexpected growth in digital advertising.
Amazon's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is high at 42, but that figure is significantly lower than its 10-year average.
For another approach, see: Mfs Massachusetts Investors Growth Stock R6
Meanwhile, Amazon's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio sits at an attractive three and is similarly below its 10-year average.
To maximize your returns, you want to buy stocks with the highest probability of success, which means picking stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B.
If you find yourself looking at stocks with a #3 (Hold) rank, make sure they have Scores of A or B as well to ensure as much upside potential as possible.
A stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, for instance, even one with Scores of A and B, will still have a declining earnings forecast, and a greater chance its share price will fall too.
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Amazon vs. Others
Amazon's growth prospects are often compared to those of its competitors.
The company's market capitalization is significantly higher than that of Walmart, its closest retail competitor.
In contrast, Amazon's growth rate is slower than that of Shopify, a smaller e-commerce platform.
However, Amazon's revenue growth rate is still impressive, having increased by 22% in 2020.
Amazon's stock price has historically been more volatile than that of Walmart, which has a more stable track record.
The company's focus on innovation and customer experience has allowed it to maintain a strong brand image.
Amazon's ability to expand into new markets and offer a wide range of services has contributed to its growth.
The company's acquisition of Whole Foods Market in 2017 marked a significant expansion into the grocery market.
Amazon's stock price has been more sensitive to economic downturns than that of Walmart.
The company's high operating expenses have been a concern for investors, but they have also allowed for significant investments in growth initiatives.
Curious to learn more? Check out: Amazon Is a Growth Company with a Long-term Outlook
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Amazon a good stock to hold forever?
Yes, Amazon is considered a top contender for a "forever" stock due to its multiple growth avenues and strong competitive edge. It's expected to deliver above-average returns for a long time, making it a solid long-term investment option.
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