HelloFresh Stock Performance and Valuation Analysis

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HelloFresh has seen significant growth in its stock performance since its IPO in 2017. The company's stock price has increased by over 500% in just a few years.

The growth can be attributed to the company's innovative approach to meal kit delivery, which has disrupted the traditional food industry. This disruption has led to a significant increase in revenue.

As of 2022, HelloFresh's revenue has reached $4.7 billion, a 20% increase from the previous year. The company's strong financial performance has led to its inclusion in the FTSE 250 index.

HelloFresh's stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35, which is lower than its peers in the food delivery industry.

Recommended read: Hellofresh Earnings

Performance

HelloFresh stock has had its ups and downs. As of September 16, 2025, the trailing total returns may include dividends or other distributions, and the benchmark is the DAX P (^GDAXI).

The current share price is €7.45, which is a significant drop from its 52-week high of €13.92. On the other hand, the 52-week low is €6.76.

Credit: youtube.com, HelloFresh Stock: Undervalued European Growth Company

Here are the key performance metrics:

The beta of HelloFresh stock is 0.37, indicating that it has historically been less volatile than the overall market.

Valuation

HelloFresh stock's valuation is a crucial aspect to consider for investors. The company's market capitalization is a significant $1.49 billion, indicating a substantial market presence.

The enterprise value, which includes debt and cash, stands at $1.84 billion. This is a key metric for understanding the company's overall value.

One notable valuation metric is the price-to-book ratio, which is 1.77. This suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for HelloFresh's stock relative to its book value.

Here's a quick rundown of HelloFresh's valuation metrics:

The price-to-sales ratio of 0.18 indicates that investors are willing to pay a relatively low price for each dollar of revenue generated by HelloFresh.

Price Volatility

In terms of price volatility, HelloFresh's (HFG) share price has been quite unstable, especially over the past 3 months. It's moved 9% on average per week, which is higher than the German market average of 4.9%.

Healthy Vegetable Meal on the Table
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Compared to the Consumer Retailing Industry, HFG's volatility is actually slightly higher, with an average weekly movement of 7.7%. This suggests that HFG's stock price is more prone to fluctuations than its peers.

Interestingly, HFG's weekly volatility has remained relatively stable over the past year, but it's still higher than 75% of German stocks. This is a key consideration for investors looking to understand the potential risks and rewards of investing in HFG.

Here's a comparison of HFG's volatility with other stocks in the German market:

Overall, HFG's volatility is an important factor to consider for investors, especially those looking to buy and hold the stock for the long term.

Valuation Measures

Valuation Measures are a crucial aspect of understanding a company's financial health. They provide a snapshot of the company's value and performance.

The Market Cap of a company is a key valuation measure, and in this case, it's 1.49 billion. This figure represents the total market value of the company's outstanding shares.

A different take: Stock Valuation

Credit: youtube.com, How to Value a Company | Best Valuation Methods

Enterprise Value, on the other hand, is a more comprehensive measure that includes debt and cash. The Enterprise Value of this company is 1.84 billion.

Trailing and Forward P/E ratios are often used to gauge a company's profitability, but in this case, they are not available.

The Price to Sales ratio is an important metric that shows how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of sales. For this company, the Price to Sales ratio is 0.18.

The Price to Book ratio is another valuable metric that compares the market value of a company to its book value. In this case, the Price to Book ratio is 1.77.

Enterprise Value to Revenue and Enterprise Value to EBITDA are two more ratios that provide insights into a company's valuation. The Enterprise Value to Revenue ratio is 0.22, and the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is 4.96.

Here's a summary of the key valuation measures for this company:

  • Market Cap: 1.49 billion
  • Enterprise Value: 1.84 billion
  • Price to Sales: 0.18
  • Price to Book: 1.77
  • Enterprise Value to Revenue: 0.22
  • Enterprise Value to EBITDA: 4.96

Estimates in EUR

Credit: youtube.com, Morningstar Fair Value Estimate

Estimates in EUR can give us a glimpse into what investors and analysts expect from a company's future performance. The average revenue estimate for HelloFresh in 2026 is 6,831 EUR, according to 4 analysts.

Looking at the earnings estimates, we can see that the average estimate for HelloFresh in 2026 is 0.714 EUR. This is a significant increase from the previous year's estimate of -0.821 EUR.

HelloFresh's revenue estimates have been steadily increasing over the years, with an average estimate of 6,831 EUR in 2026, up from 6,893 EUR in 2025. The number of analysts providing revenue estimates has also increased, from 5 in 2025 to 15 in 2026.

Here's a breakdown of the average revenue estimates for HelloFresh in 2025 and 2026:

The average earnings estimate for HelloFresh in 2026 is 0.714 EUR, which is a significant increase from the previous year's estimate of -0.821 EUR.

Financials

HelloFresh stock has some interesting financials. Total Cash is at 428.4M.

Credit: youtube.com, What is going on with the HelloFresh Stock?

The company's balance sheet is quite substantial, with a total liabilities of 1,857.40M in 2024. This is a significant increase from 2018, when it was just 159.40M.

Their debt-to-equity ratio is a bit high, standing at 103.50% in the most recent quarter. This might be a concern for some investors.

On the other hand, their levered free cash flow is a healthy 167.06M in the last 12 months. This is a positive sign for the company's financial stability.

Here's a breakdown of their balance sheet over the years:

Ownership

Institutional investors own over 50% of HelloFresh, which means they can strongly influence board decisions.

HelloFresh is not owned by hedge funds, but rather by institutional investors and private equity firms. Active Ownership Capital S.à R.L. is the largest shareholder with 8.5% of shares outstanding.

The top 12 shareholders have a combined ownership of 51%, implying that no single shareholder has a majority. This suggests a balanced ownership structure.

Credit: youtube.com, Meal-Kit Startup HelloFresh Targets $1.8B IPO Valuation

Insiders, including the CEO and board members, own shares in HelloFresh SE, indicating alignment with other shareholders. Insiders own €73m worth of shares, which is a significant amount.

Private equity firms, such as Active Ownership Capital S.à R.L., hold a stake of 8.5%, which could influence the board's decisions. This could be a positive or negative factor, depending on one's perspective.

Broaden your view: What Are Stocks and Shares

What Does Institutional Ownership Tell Us?

Institutional ownership can be a significant factor in a company's success. Institutional investors own over 50% of HelloFresh, which means they can strongly influence board decisions.

This level of ownership is not uncommon, especially for growing companies. But it's worth noting that institutions can also make bad investments, just like individual investors.

Active Ownership Capital S.à R.L. is the largest shareholder of HelloFresh, owning 8.5% of shares outstanding. The top 12 shareholders combined own 51% of the company, with no single shareholder having a majority.

The presence of multiple institutions owning a stock can increase the risk of a "crowded trade", where multiple parties try to sell stock quickly if the trade goes wrong.

Insider Ownership

Credit: youtube.com, Ownership - Insider Ownership

Insider ownership can be a positive indicator of a company's alignment with its shareholders.

Insiders, which include board members, own shares in HelloFresh SE, a big company.

This level of insider ownership is €73m worth of shares at current prices.

Having insiders own shares can indicate that the board is well aligned with other shareholders.

Insiders owning shares can also lead to concentrated power within the group, which can be a concern.

You can explore the question of insider alignment by clicking here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

Private Equity Ownership

Private equity firms hold an 8.5% stake in HelloFresh, giving them a significant influence over the company's board.

This level of ownership can be beneficial as private equity firms often bring strategies that help investors see the value in a company.

However, some investors may be exiting their investment after taking HelloFresh public, which could be a concern for long-term growth.

Private equity firms are known to encourage strategies that can increase a company's market value, which could be a positive outcome for investors.

Statistics

Credit: youtube.com, B&M 'Weak', Shell's Rebound, Hello Fresh Slumps | Stock Movers

HelloFresh stock has some interesting statistics that are worth looking at.

The open price of HelloFresh stock is 7.47, which is a key indicator of its value.

The high price reached was 7.58, showing that the stock had a slight boost.

The low price of 7.28 indicates that the stock value dropped slightly.

The current bid price is 7.35, which is a competitive price for investors.

The offer price is 7.36, slightly higher than the bid price.

The previous close price was 7.45, showing a slight decrease from the current price.

The average volume of HelloFresh stock is 2.17 million shares, indicating moderate trading activity.

The company has 166.94 million shares outstanding, giving investors a lot of options to buy in.

The free float of 153.35 million shares is a significant portion of the total shares outstanding.

The market capitalization of HelloFresh is 1.24 billion EUR, a substantial value.

The EPS (Earnings Per Share) for the trailing 12 months is -1.06 EUR, indicating a loss for the company.

Management

Credit: youtube.com, Swisslog Helps HelloFresh Increase Throughput with Automated Fulfillment

HelloFresh stock has a strong management team behind it. John H. Rittenhouse serves as the Chairman-Supervisory Board.

The company's leadership is led by Dominik S. Richter, who is the Chief Executive Officer. He is responsible for making key decisions that drive the company's growth.

Edward Boyes is the Chief Commercial Officer, overseeing the company's commercial activities. Thomas W. Griesel, on the other hand, is the Chief Executive Officer-International, focusing on the company's international operations.

The management team also includes Mathias Weiden, who serves as the Chief of Staff. Fabien Jacques Simon is the Global Chief Financial Officer, responsible for the company's financial management.

Ursula Radeke-Pietsch is the Deputy Chairman-Supervisory Board, supporting the Chairman in their duties. Daniel Alvarez is the Director-Investor Relations, responsible for managing investor relations.

The Supervisory Board is composed of several members, including Derek Zissman, Michael Roth, and Susanne Dorothee Schröter-Crossan.

Here is a list of the key management team members:

Maurice Pollich

Senior Writer

Maurice Pollich is a seasoned writer with a keen interest in the digital world. With a background in technology and finance, he brings a unique perspective to his writing. Maurice's expertise spans a range of topics, including cryptocurrency tokens, where he has developed a deep understanding of the underlying mechanics and market trends.

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