DraftKings Thanksgiving Day NFL DFS Picks and Strategy

Thanksgiving Day is one of the busiest days for the NFL, with three games packed into a single day. The action starts at 12:30 PM ET with the Detroit Lions hosting the Chicago Bears.

The Lions have been a consistent source of fantasy production this season, with quarterback Jared Goff leading the charge. Goff has thrown for over 300 yards in three of his last four games, making him a great target for DFS lineups.

The Bears, on the other hand, have been a defensive powerhouse, allowing just 18 points per game over their last five contests. Their stingy defense could make it tough for the Lions' offense to get going, which might impact Goff's fantasy value.

The afternoon game features the Dallas Cowboys hosting the Washington Commanders. The Cowboys have been a top-scoring team this season, with quarterback Dak Prescott leading the way. Prescott has thrown for over 300 yards in four of his last six games, making him a solid choice for DFS lineups.

The NFL Picks section is where things get really exciting. The Dallas Cowboys are a top pick to win against the Washington Commanders, with a projected score of 27-17.

The key to their success lies in their strong offense, led by quarterback Dak Prescott. Prescott has been in top form, throwing for over 300 yards in their last two games.

However, don't count out the Commanders just yet - they've been known to pull off upsets against top teams. Their defense has been improving, and they may be able to contain the Cowboys' offense.

The other top pick to win is the Kansas City Chiefs, who are projected to beat the Las Vegas Raiders 31-24. The Chiefs' offense is looking strong, with quarterback Patrick Mahomes leading the charge.

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Jared Goff is a strong pick against the Bears, with the highest ceiling projections on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He's a great offense to build around in this matchup, especially at his price point on DraftKings.

Goff has thrown for 240 yards or more in each of his last three games and six of his last eight games, which is a impressive feat. He's also averaged 20.0 DraftKings and FanDuel points per game during that stretch.

The Bears have given up 330 passing yards and two touchdowns to the Vikings last week, and have allowed eight QB passing or rushing touchdowns in their last six games. This trend suggests that the Bears may struggle to contain the Lions' offense.

Goff had a monster game against the Jaguars two weeks ago, with 37.6 DraftKings points on four touchdowns and 412 passing yards. He's a great quarterback to consider in your lineup this week.

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Caleb Williams at Detroit Lions is a strong value option to consider on Thanksgiving. He has the top Projected Plus/Minus at quarterback in the aggregate projections on DraftKings.

Williams has shown significant improvement since the change in offensive coordinator, posting 16.24 DraftKings points against the Packers and 29.9 DraftKings points against the Vikings last week.

He threw for 340 yards against the Vikings, his second-highest total of the season, while also throwing two touchdowns and running for 33 yards. This performance snapped a streak of four straight games without a touchdown throw after the bye week.

Williams should be in a position to air it out and try to make big plays against the high-scoring Lions, who the Bears will likely be playing from behind against.

Josh Allen is a near must-play against the Saints defense, which ranks 25th in the NFL in yards allowed per attempt and DK points per game to the QB position.

This Buffalo offense has been puzzlingly inconsistent, but Josh Allen has still demonstrated a consistent DFS floor by posting 18 or more DraftKings points in eight of Buffalo's 10 games this season.

The Saints defense is vulnerable to the QB position, making Josh Allen a great choice for your DFS lineup.

Las Vegas' Derek Carr is another QB worth considering, as he's likely to be forced into being aggressive against the explosive Dallas Cowboys offense.

Carr has shown the talent needed to turn that opportunity into fantasy points, and his performances early in the season make him a dark horse for a tournament-winning score.

Tight end has some surprisingly playable options on this short slate, with Mark Andrews carrying the most upside.

Mark Andrews is a great choice for your DFS lineup, but he comes with a higher price tag of $5200.

For punt options, Logan Thomas is a viable choice, but be warned, he's not for the faint of heart.

T.J. Hockenson is another tight end worth considering, as he should see close to eight targets again if the Lions continue to be decimated with injuries.

Jordan Akins could see the same elevated target share as Hockenson, considering Randall Cobb and Kenny Stills are expected to miss this game.

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The top players for your DraftKings Thanksgiving picks are crucial to a winning lineup.

Christian McCaffrey is a top choice, with a projected 25+ points, making him a solid RB1.

Alvin Kamara is another strong option, with a high floor and a chance to score big, making him a great RB2.

Aaron Jones is a safe pick, with a high floor and a good chance to score double digits, making him a solid RB3.

Josh Jacobs is a top play, and here's why. He's been the most consistent of the top running backs, with six touchdowns in the last four weeks and five straight games with at least 75 rushing yards.

His workload is more secure than some of the other top options, making him a great choice for cash games. Jacobs has also become a key part of the passing game, hauling in multiple passes in four of his last five games and posting a season-high 58 receiving yards in Week 11.

He's a bit cheaper than some of the other top running backs, with a salary of $7,000 on DraftKings and $7,800 on FanDuel. Jacobs has the second-highest ceiling projection on both sites in Koerner's projections and the highest in THE BLITZ projections on FanDuel.

In his last game against the 49ers, Jacobs scored three touchdowns and had 31.6 DraftKings points. He's a great choice for any game, but especially on Thanksgiving when he's going up against the Miami Dolphins.

Here are the top running backs on the slate, along with their projected plus/minus:

Rico Dowdle is another top running back, with a high projected plus/minus and the ability to make big plays whenever he touches the ball.

Keenan Allen is a top value at the Detroit Lions, priced at $5,100 on DraftKings and $6,500 on FanDuel.

He has the top projected Plus/Minus of all receivers on DraftKings and the second-highest on FanDuel behind Jameson Williams.

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Allen caught one of Caleb Williams' two touchdown passes last week and finished with 23.6 DraftKings points, his highest total of the season.

The Bears will probably have to go pass-heavy to keep up with the Lions, so look for Allen to continue to get plenty of targets from Williams.

Allen has been consistently very involved in the offense with at least four receptions in four straight games, giving him a relatively high floor to go with his high ceiling.

He had 15 targets last week and has averaged 7.9 targets per game this season.

The Lions have given up the fourth-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season, making Allen's matchup on Thanksgiving a good one.

In this year's DraftKings Thanksgiving picks, the top quarterback to consider is Matthew Stafford.

The top running back to consider is Ezekiel Elliott, who has averaged 24.5 fantasy points per game on DraftKings this season.

Josh Jacobs is a great option at running back, especially on Thanksgiving. He's been the most consistent of the top running backs, with six touchdowns in the last four weeks and a season-high 58 receiving yards in Week 11's win in Chicago.

Jacobs has the second-highest ceiling projection on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and the highest in THE BLITZ projections on FanDuel. He's also been a part of the passing game, with multiple catches in four of his five previous games.

Rico Dowdle has become the Cowboys' go-to running back, playing 49% or more of snaps in each of the last four weeks. He finished last week's win in Washington with 19 carries for 86 yards and caught all three targets for 12 more yards.

Dowdle has multiple catches in six straight games and has the ability to make big plays whenever the ball is in his hands. He has the highest Projected Plus/Minus of all running backs in Koerner's projection.

David Montgomery is another good option, drawing the mother of all smash spots on Turkey Day against Detroit. The Lions have played hard for HC Dan Campbell, but simply lack the personnel needed to win consistently at the NFL level.

Tony Pollard is a contrarian option, who could receive a big usage bump if Ezekiel Elliott aggravates his injury or the Cowboys fall behind.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is the top ceiling play at WR, with the highest median and ceiling projection on both DraftKings and THE BLITZ.

He's been a beast this season, catching 83% of passes thrown his way with an average of 7.8 targets per game and 67.9 receiving yards per game.

St. Brown teamed up with Jared Goff two weeks ago and finished with 41.7 DraftKings points against the Jaguars by hauling in all 11 of his targets for 161 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

The Lions did list ARSB as a non-participant in Monday's walkthrough due to a knee injury, which is a new concern for the star receiver.

Darnell Mooney is a great option for Thanksgiving Day DFS, as he should be the top pass-catching option for the Bears with Allen Robinson looking highly doubtful.

Mooney was targeted an astounding 16 times against Baltimore last week, snagging five balls for 121 yards and a score.

He garnered an eye-popping 54.4% share of Chicago's Air Yards last week, and should be considered a big play waiting to happen against a Lions defense that has allowed 38 completions of 20 or more yards this season.

Emmanuel Sanders is a pivot play to consider, as he remains a steady piece of the Bills offense despite a recent slump.

Despite catching just 53 yards in the last two games, Sanders' recent usage remains in line with his season average snap share of 80%.

As a whole, the Saints secondary hasn't been one to fear, ranking 28th in the NFL in both total yards and yards per target allowed to opposing WRs.

When you're looking for a reliable tight end, Darren Waller stands out as the top option. He leads all TEs in the NFL with averages of 8.8 targets and 86.0 Air Yards per game.

His matchup against the Cowboys is promising, as they rank 29th in the league in yards allowed per target to the TE position. This sets him up for a strong performance.

Juwan Johnson is a riskier option, but one worth considering in a limited-slate environment. He's a converted WR with a physical presence and an aDOT of 11.67.

In a relief role last week, Johnson snagged two of three targets for 36 yards against the Eagles. His Thanksgiving Day matchup is tough, but rostering him can help differentiate your GPP roster builds while saving salary.

On a smaller slate like Thanksgiving, you can actually stack one team and "run it back" with two players from the other team, which can help you differentiate yourself in tournaments.

This strategy is viable because the odds of one team outperforming the others increases on a shorter slate.

Don't be afraid to double-stack a team, as it can be a good way to play good plays and reduce the percentage of people with the same combination.

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Core plays are essential to a solid DraftKings strategy. These are the top players at each position that are guaranteed to be included in our cash player pool, with high floors and team-implied totals making them great plays for the week in both cash and GPPs.

The top QB plays include Jordan Love, Jared Goff, and Caleb Williams, with Caleb Williams being the best salary-adjusted QB play on the slate for cash games at just $5,300.

Here are the top QB plays:

For RB plays, Rico Dowdle is a top choice, with his salary on both sites mixed with the matchup against the Giants' porous run defense making him an easy click.

For FanDuel, it's essential to consider the values and stacks highlighted in the article.

The article mentions that signing up for the Premium DFS lineups and betting cards grants access to the premium DFS and betting forums, which include all sports.

To succeed on FanDuel, focus on the plays and stacks mentioned in the article, such as the favorite plays and values.

If Amon-Ra St. Brown is ruled out due to his knee injury, Jameson Williams would likely see a significant increase in targets and value.

Jameson Williams is listed at $6,100 on DraftKings and could be a strong alternative option.

Kalif Raymond at $3,400 and Sam LaPorta at $4,100 are also potential beneficiaries if St. Brown is unable to play.

Rome Odunze is a highly rated option on FanDuel, and could be a good option if St. Brown is out.