
AppLovin is a leading mobile marketing and monetization platform that has been growing rapidly over the years. Founded in 2012, the company has established itself as a key player in the mobile gaming industry.
AppLovin's revenue has been steadily increasing, with a significant boost in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. According to the company's financial reports, revenue grew from $1.3 billion in 2019 to $1.7 billion in 2020.
The company's growth can be attributed to its strategic acquisitions, including MoPub in 2017 and Chartboost in 2020. These acquisitions have expanded AppLovin's offerings and increased its market share.
Financial Projections
AppLovin Corporation's financial projections indicate a significant growth in net sales, with a 92.48% increase from 2020 to 2021.
The company's EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) also shows a substantial increase, with a 46.28% growth from 2021 to 2022.
Net income has experienced a notable fluctuation, with a 125.32% increase from 2020 to 2021, followed by a 707.97% decline from 2021 to 2022.
Here's a breakdown of AppLovin's projected income statement for the next few years:
Projected Income Statement
The projected income statement is a crucial tool for businesses, providing a forecast of their financial performance over a specific period. It helps companies make informed decisions about investments, funding, and resource allocation.
AppLovin Corporation's projected income statement shows a significant increase in net sales from $1,451 in 2020 to $9,532 in 2027, a growth of 554.5% over the 7-year period.
The company's net sales have been steadily increasing, with a 92.48% growth from 2020 to 2021, followed by a 0.86% growth from 2021 to 2022.
Here's a breakdown of the projected income statement for AppLovin Corporation:
Forecast Balance Sheet
The projected balance sheet of AppLovin Corporation shows a steady increase in total assets over the years.
By 2027, total assets are expected to reach $12,155 million, up from $5,572 million in 2025.
The company's total equity is also expected to grow, reaching $8,431 million by 2027.
Here's a breakdown of the projected balance sheet:
Note that these projections are based on the company's historical financial performance and may not reflect actual results.
Taxes
AppLovin's tax payments are a notable aspect of their financial projections. They've paid $130.30 million in taxes over the past 12 months.
This significant tax burden is a substantial expense for the company. It's worth noting that this amount is a one-year total, not a yearly average.
Breaking down the tax burden, we see that AppLovin's effective tax rate is 4.93%. This means that for every dollar earned, they pay approximately 4.93 cents in taxes.
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Financial Analysis
AppLovin's financials are a mixed bag, but let's break it down. The company's EBITDA margin has been on the rise, increasing from 26.02% in 2021 to 83.23% in 2027.
AppLovin's debt situation is concerning, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.01 and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.02. This means the company is heavily reliant on debt to fund its operations.
The company's cash flow per share has been increasing steadily, from $1.056 in 2021 to $20.63 in 2027. This suggests that AppLovin is generating a significant amount of cash from its operations.
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AppLovin's earnings per share (EPS) have also been on the rise, increasing from -$0.58 in 2020 to $18.12 in 2027. This is a significant turnaround for the company.
Here's a breakdown of AppLovin's financial ratios:
Overall, AppLovin's financials are a complex mix of positive and negative trends.
Financial Position
AppLovin's financial position is a key aspect of understanding the company's overall health. The company has a current ratio of 2.74, indicating that it has sufficient liquidity to meet its short-term obligations.
The current ratio is calculated by dividing the company's current assets by its current liabilities. In AppLovin's case, its current assets are sufficient to cover its current liabilities, which is a positive sign.
AppLovin's debt-to-equity ratio is 3.01, which means that for every dollar of equity, the company has $3.01 of debt. This ratio can be a concern, but it's essential to consider the company's overall financial situation and growth prospects.
Here's a breakdown of AppLovin's key financial ratios:
Ratings
Ratings can be a complex topic, but essentially, they're a way to measure a company's financial health and performance.
A super rating is a weighted average of rankings based on three key factors: Global Valuation, EPS Revisions, and Visibility. This rating is often used by investors to get a comprehensive view of a company's financial situation.
Investors may also look at a super composite rating, which is an average of rankings based on four key factors: Fundamentals, Global Valuation, EPS Revisions, and Visibility.
Other ratings, such as the composite rating, take into account five key factors: Fundamentals, Valuation, Financial Estimates Revisions, Consensus, and Visibility. For this calculation to be performed, a company must be covered by at least four of these five ratings.
In some cases, a company's quality is evaluated through a composite rating, which is an average of rankings based on three key factors: Capital Efficiency, Quality of Financial Reporting, and Financial Health. For this calculation to be performed, a company must be covered by at least two of these three ratings.
Some companies may also have specific scores, such as an Altman Z-Score of 13.73 or a Piotroski F-Score of 7, which can provide additional insights into their financial health.
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Financial Position
The company's current ratio is 2.74, indicating it has enough liquid assets to cover its short-term debts.
This is a relatively strong position, suggesting the company can manage its day-to-day financial obligations with ease.
The quick ratio, which only considers liquid assets that can be converted to cash within 90 days, is 2.54, further indicating the company's ability to meet its short-term financial commitments.
The Debt / Equity ratio is 3.01, which is higher than the industry average, indicating the company has a significant amount of debt compared to its equity.
This high debt level may be a concern for investors, as it can increase the company's financial risk.
The Debt / EBITDA ratio is 1.02, which is relatively low, suggesting the company's debt is manageable in relation to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
The Debt / FCF ratio is 1.21, which is slightly higher than the Debt / EBITDA ratio, indicating the company's debt is somewhat more manageable in relation to its free cash flow.
The interest coverage ratio is 10.66, which is a strong indicator of the company's ability to meet its interest payments on its debt.
Here's a summary of the company's financial position:
Stock Performance
AppLovin's stock price has seen a significant increase of +255.57% in the last 52 weeks, indicating a strong upward trend.
The company's beta of 2.53 suggests that its price volatility has been higher than the market average, which is a key factor to consider for investors.
AppLovin's stock price has fluctuated over time, with a 50-day moving average of 561.69 and a 200-day moving average of 396.79.
Here's a breakdown of AppLovin's stock performance over the past few years:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 43.64 indicates that AppLovin's stock price is currently in a neutral zone, neither overbought nor oversold.
Stock Price Statistics
AppLovin's stock price has increased by a significant +255.57% in the last 52 weeks.
The stock's beta is 2.53, indicating higher price volatility than the market average.
This increased volatility is reflected in the stock's price movement, which has been quite substantial.
AppLovin's 50-Day Moving Average is at 561.69, showing a recent upward trend.
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In contrast, the 200-Day Moving Average is at 396.79, indicating a longer-term perspective.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.64, suggesting that the stock may be due for a potential correction.
Here's a quick look at some key statistics:
Short Selling Information
As you dig deeper into a stock's performance, it's essential to understand the dynamics of short selling. The latest short interest is a staggering 21.86 million, which translates to 6.46% of the outstanding shares being sold short.
This means that a significant portion of the market is betting against the stock, which can be a sign of underlying issues or a potential turnaround in the company's fortunes.
The short interest has actually decreased from the previous month, standing at 14.86 million. This could be a sign that some of the bears have closed their positions or that the market is starting to see some positive developments.
The short interest as a percentage of shares outstanding is a key metric to watch, and in this case, it's 6.46%. This is a relatively high percentage, indicating that a substantial number of investors are shorting the stock.
Here's a breakdown of the short selling metrics:
Income Statement
AppLovin's income statement reveals a significant increase in revenue over the years. The company's revenue has grown from $1.45 billion in 2020 to $9.53 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.73%.
Their revenue has consistently increased over the past few years, with a notable jump from $2.79 billion in 2021 to $4.71 billion in 2024. This growth is reflected in their net income, which has also seen a significant increase, from -$125.2 million in 2020 to $6.08 billion in 2027.
AppLovin's EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) has also shown a remarkable growth, increasing from $726.8 million in 2021 to $7.93 billion in 2027. This indicates that the company is generating a significant amount of cash from its operations.
Here's a summary of AppLovin's revenue and net income over the past few years:
Their EBITDA margin has also improved over the years, indicating that the company is becoming more efficient in its operations. AppLovin's net profit margin has increased from 26.1% in 2023 to 43.8% in 2024.
AppLovin's revenue and net income have consistently increased over the past few years, indicating a strong financial performance. Their EBITDA and EBIT margins have also improved, reflecting their ability to generate cash from operations and maintain profitability.
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Cash Flow
Cash Flow is a crucial aspect of any company's financial health, and AppLovin Corporation is no exception. Their cash flow forecast is a great indicator of their financial stability.
AppLovin Corporation's cash flow forecast shows a significant increase in free cash flow over the years, with a projected $6.24 billion in 2027. This is a substantial jump from the $360.5 million in 2021, indicating a strong growth trajectory.
Free cash flow is calculated by subtracting capital expenditures from operating cash flow. In the last 12 months, AppLovin's operating cash flow was $2.90 billion, while capital expenditures were -$4.78 million, resulting in a free cash flow of $2.90 billion. This means that for every dollar invested in capital expenditures, the company generated over $2.90 billion in free cash flow.
Here's a breakdown of AppLovin's free cash flow over the years, based on their cash flow forecast:
As you can see, AppLovin's free cash flow is expected to increase significantly over the next few years, indicating a strong financial position.
Dividends & Yields
AppLovin's financials show a lack of dividend payments at this time. The company doesn't appear to be distributing any dividends to its shareholders.
The buyback yield is 1.38%, which might be a sign of the company's confidence in its own stock. This percentage represents the return on investment for shareholders who sell their shares to the company.
The earnings yield is 1.27%, and the FCF yield is 1.52%. These percentages indicate the return on investment for shareholders based on the company's earnings and free cash flow, respectively.
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Forecast and Analysis
In AppLovin Corporation's cash flow forecast, we see a significant decrease in CAPEX from 2021 to 2022, with a 52.37% drop.
The company's Free Cash Flow (FCF) has been steadily increasing, with a 7.33% growth from 2021 to 2022.
AppLovin Corporation's CAPEX is expected to increase significantly from 2022 to 2023, with a 541.39% growth.
The company's Free Cash Flow is expected to continue growing, with a 173.28% increase from 2022 to 2023.
Here's a breakdown of AppLovin Corporation's CAPEX and FCF growth over the next few years:
AppLovin Corporation's Free Cash Flow is expected to reach $6,244 in 2027, a significant increase from $3,277 in 2025.
Company Overview
AppLovin is a leading mobile gaming and monetization platform that has been around since 2012. It was founded by Oliver Cheng and Adam Foroughi.
The company's headquarters is located in Mountain View, California, and it has a global presence with offices in over 20 countries.
AppLovin offers a range of services including app discovery, user acquisition, and ad monetization. Its platform connects app developers with millions of users worldwide.
AppLovin's revenue model is primarily based on a cost-per-install (CPI) and cost-per-click (CPC) model, generating revenue from ad impressions and clicks.
The company's revenue has been steadily increasing over the years, with a significant surge in 2020 due to the rise of mobile gaming during the pandemic.
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